Unemployment in the Sault on the High Side

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There were over 8,000 people out of work last month in Sault Ste. Marie compared to last year leaving the Sault with an unemployment rate of  10.3 percent.

Meanwhile, Canada’s economy added about 6,600 jobs last month, essentially reversing a similar decline in June but having too little effect to change a national unemployment rate that has been stuck at 6.8 per cent for six months in a row.

Statistics Canada’s monthly job report provides a fresh reading on an important economic indicator, as well as fuel for an ongoing debate in political and business circles about whether the country fell into a recession in the first half of this year.

Although there seems to be undeniable evidence that the economy shrank in the first quarter and probably the second quarter, the Statistics Canada monthly jobs report released Friday paints a more complicated picture.

The six-month trend “isn’t yet pointing to Canada being in recession” because there have been 11,000 jobs added over a period that included a major downturn in the oil and gas sector, said CIBC World Markets economist Nick Exarhos.

“Indeed, the provincial breakdown highlights the narrow hit that the oil shock has had, with Saskatchewan and Alberta reporting employment declines in July, while Quebec posted a healthy gain,” Exarhos said in a brief commentary.

Randall Bartlett, a senior economist with the Toronto-Dominion Bank group, said the monthly labour force survey “has missed the mark” lately — pointing to an earlier report that 60,000 jobs were created in May, even though the economy shrank by 0.2 per cent overall in a downturn affecting 13 of 20 major industries.

“The decline in jobs in accommodation and food services in Ontario during the hosting of the Pan Am Games (July 10 to 24) also seems highly questionable,” he said in a note to clients.

“This said, we use employment from the LFS in our early tracking of the Canadian economy, and today’s release has not moved the needle materially.”

There were 17,300 fewer Canadians with full-time jobs in July compared with June, but 23,900 more who had part-time employment, Statistics Canada said. There was also an additional 41,000 people more people who were self-employed in July.

Regionally, the biggest winner was Quebec — which added 21,700 jobs in total in July, mostly part-time — while the number was flat or lower in all other provinces except Nova Scotia, which added 3,100 positions, mostly full-time. The biggest decline in employment was in Saskatchewan, where 7,400 jobs were lost, most of which were full-time.

Quebec’s provincial unemployment rate in July was 7.7 per cent, which was 0.3 percentage points lower than in June but still above a national unemployment rate that has been locked at 6.8 per cent since February.

In Ontario and British Columbia, two of the country’s most populous provinces, total employment was little changed in July as decreases in full-time employment were offset by part-time jobs.

In Alberta, the unemployment rate increased by 0.3 percentage points to 6.0 per cent in July — still below the national rate — as more people searched for work. There were 4,300 fewer people employed, as 1,600 additional full-time jobs were offset by 5,900 fewer part-time positions.

In Manitoba, there were 3,800 fewer people working and smaller declines were recorded in three of the four Atlantic provinces, excluding Nova Scotia.

 

The national unemployment rate was 6.8 per cent in July. Statistics Canada also released seasonally adjusted, three-month moving average unemployment rates for major cities but cautions the figures may fluctuate widely because they are based on small statistical samples. (Previous month in brackets.)

— St. John’s, N.L. 6.3 (6.5)

— Halifax 6.1 (6.7)

— Moncton, N.B. 8.0 (7.9)

— Saint John, N.B. 8.2 (7.3)

— Saguenay, Que. 7.9 (7.4)

— Quebec 4.0 (4.0)

— Sherbrooke, Que. 7.0 (6.9)

— Trois-Rivieres, Que. 6.0 (5.9)

— Montreal 8.9 (8.7)

— Gatineau, Que. 7.3 (7.7)

— Ottawa 6.1 (6.1)

— Kingston, Ont. 6.5 (6.8)

— Peterborough, Ont. 6.6 (7.1)

— Oshawa, Ont. 7.4 (7.5)

— Toronto 6.6 (6.9)

— Hamilton 5.3 (5.2)

— St. Catharines-Niagara, Ont. 6.2 (6.0)

— Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo, Ont. 5.1 (5.5)

— Brantford, Ont. 7.0 (6.1)

— Guelph, Ont. 3.6 (3.4)

— London, Ont. 6.3 (5.9)

— Windsor, Ont. 8.7 (8.9)

— Barrie, Ont. 7.2 (7.7)

— Sudbury, Ont. 7.3 (7.1)

— Thunder Bay, Ont. 4.8 (5.1)

— Winnipeg 6.0 (6.1)

— Regina 4.3 (4.2)

— Saskatoon 5.8 (5.5)

— Calgary 6.6 (5.9)

— Edmonton 5.7 (5.9)

— Kelowna, B.C. 5.0 (4.5)

— Abbotsford, B.C. 5.4 (5.4)

— Vancouver 6.0 (6.1)

— Victoria 5.3 (6.0)

Files From Canadian Press