With just three days before the Federal election, the polls have turned back in favour of a Liberal win both locally and nationally – according to the latest results from numerous polls.
338Canada.com now projects the odds of Liberal Terry Sheehan keeping his seat for the Sault Ste. Marie riding at 65% compared to Conservative candidate Sonny Spina who has fell to just a 27% chance of taking the seat.
The latest poll indicates Sheehan with 34% of the vote with Spina falling to 31% . Marie Morin-Strom from the NDP has notched up a point to 28%. Kasper Makowski also took a small hit to 7.1% support.
CBC poll tracker still has Justin Trudeau’s Liberals leading with 31.7% followed closely by Erin O’Toole’s Conservatives at 31.2% support.
The Nanos national tracking poll has similar results with Liberals at 31.9 % and the Conservatives at 30.4% as of September 16.
Abacus Data shows Liberals at 34% nationally with Conservatives with 30%.
ISPOS show the Liberals with a more comfortable lead. Justin Trudeau would receive 37% of the vote, 3 points ahead of the Conservatives and Erin O’Toole (34%). Jagmeet Singh and the NDP would receive 23% of the vote, with the Green (2%), and the People’s Party of Canada (1%) trailing.
Compared to the national polling numbers, the Liberals are up by four points (33%) in the 905, whereas the Conservatives (32%) and the NDP (21%) are only up by two points. If the Conservatives want to form the next election, they have to turn the 905 from red to blue.
Locally, an online poll from SaultOnline.com shows a much different picture with Conservatives taking 53% of the vote in the Sault compared to Liberals only taking 30% of the vote.
Nonetheless, election night could still be a barn burner on the national level and locally. The only poll that really matters is the result of the election.
You can watch Live, Local election night coverage on ONNtv.ca, Saultonline.com – coverage begins at 8:30pm. Don’t expect a clear winner though, Elections Canada warns that a winner may not be declared for days following the election because of the high volume of mail-in votes that will not begin to be counted until the next day.